{"id":575,"date":"2020-09-23T22:30:31","date_gmt":"2020-09-23T22:30:31","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/eos.co.id\/main\/?p=575"},"modified":"2020-09-23T22:30:39","modified_gmt":"2020-09-23T22:30:39","slug":"spoiler-alert-big-oil-companies-are-still-failing-on-climate","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/eos.co.id\/main\/uncategorized\/spoiler-alert-big-oil-companies-are-still-failing-on-climate\/","title":{"rendered":"Spoiler alert: Big oil companies are still failing on climate"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>SEPTEMBER 23, 2020BY&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/priceofoil.org\/author\/kelly\/\">KELLY TROUT<\/a><a href=\"http:\/\/priceofoil.org\/category\/blog-post\/\">BLOG POST<\/a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/priceofoil.org\/category\/etf\/\">ENERGY TRANSITIONS &amp; FUTURES<\/a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/priceofoil.org\/category\/news\/\">NEWS<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Over the past year, big oil and gas companies have seen their social license and financial bottom lines face unprecedented threats. With&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2020\/08\/04\/climate\/hurricane-isaias-apple-fire-climate.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">climate disaster after climate disaster<\/a>&nbsp;devastating communities across the globe and&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/priceofoil.org\/2020\/05\/20\/deep-dive-5-reasons-governments-must-act-now-phase-out-oil-gas-production\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">oil markets crashing<\/a>&nbsp;in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, these companies have faced growing pressure \u2013 from frontline communities and Indigenous Peoples, shareholder activists and major investors, policy experts and city leaders \u2013 to take responsibility for the climate wreckage they are causing and change course.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"alignright\"><a href=\"http:\/\/priceofoil.org\/big-oil-reality-check\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img src=\"http:\/\/priceofoil.org\/content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/borc-social-lead-square-v2-1-300x300.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-35876\"\/><\/a><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>In response, major oil and gas companies have released a slew of new commitments outlining their climate \u201cambitions\u201d and pledges to become \u201cnet zero\u201d carbon companies, all signs that the pressure is having an effect. But these oil company pledges and promises cannot be taken at face value.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That\u2019s why today, Oil Change International, in collaboration with 30 other organisations, released a&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/priceofoil.org\/big-oil-reality-check\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">new assessment<\/a>&nbsp;of the latest climate pledges from BP, Chevron, Eni, Equinor, ExxonMobil, Repsol, Shell, and Total. In the briefing, called&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/priceofoil.org\/big-oil-reality-check\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><em>Big Oil Reality Check<\/em><\/a>, we focus on how these companies\u2019 plans stack up against the bare minimum of what\u2019s needed to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius (\u00b0C).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As one might expect from corporations notorious for&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/stories-53640382\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">decades of climate deception<\/a>, on the whole, these plans use fancy terminology and convoluted metrics to cover up still grossly inadequate levels of action. Granted, some companies are doing more than others (e.g.,&nbsp;<strong>Exxon<\/strong>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<strong>Chevron<\/strong>&nbsp;really are the worst). But being a \u201cleader\u201d among laggards doesn\u2019t cut it when we\u2019re in a climate emergency \u2013 a crisis that the oil and gas industry has&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/2019\/oct\/09\/revealed-20-firms-third-carbon-emissions\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">done the most to cause<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3>What are the baselines?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The table below shows our assessment of each company across ten criteria. We regard these as&nbsp;<em>minimum<\/em>&nbsp;baselines for an oil company to have the possibility of being aligned with the Paris Agreement goal to limit warming to 1.5\u00b0C. In other words, these are bottom lines, not gold standards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Each of the eight major companies assessed scores grossly insufficient or insufficient in a majority of criteria:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img src=\"http:\/\/priceofoil.org\/content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/borc-table-social-2.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-35874\"\/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>This sea of red and orange squares above tells a very different story compared to the bold-sounding claims of the companies. That\u2019s because we are working from what success in keeping global temperature rise below 1.5\u00b0C would practically entail.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We focus on tests of near-term ambition \u2013 commitments to stop exploration, stop developing new extraction projects, and to significantly decline total oil and gas production between now and 2030 \u2013 because they tell us a lot more about the seriousness of these companies\u2019 pledges compared to vague promises of what they will do by 2050.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In particular, we keep these realities at the forefront:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul><li>Oil Change International&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/priceofoil.org\/2016\/09\/22\/the-skys-limit-report\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">analysis<\/a>&nbsp;(updated for&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/priceofoil.org\/big-oil-reality-check\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">this briefing<\/a>) finds that the oil and gas reserves in already-producing or under construction fields and wells globally could push the world past 1.5\u00baC, even if coal use is phased out overnight (shown in the figure below).<\/li><li>The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has warned that global carbon dioxide emissions \u2013 of which oil and gas combined are the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/iopscience.iop.org\/article\/10.1088\/1748-9326\/ab57b3\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">largest source&nbsp;<\/a>\u2013 must be&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.scientificamerican.com\/article\/limiting-warming-to-1-5-celsius-will-require-drastic-action-ipcc-says\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">halved by 2030<\/a>&nbsp;to have a chance at staying within 1.5\u00b0C of warming. The pace at which pollution starts declining in this decade will determine global success or failure in meeting the Paris goals.<\/li><li>The only guaranteed way for an oil and gas company to wind down its contribution to carbon pollution is to phase out its extraction and sales of oil and gas.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img src=\"http:\/\/priceofoil.org\/content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/borc-es1-skys-limit.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-35875\"\/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h3>Shell, Total, and BP: Rhetoric vs. Reality<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Here\u2019s how the targets of a few specific companies currently touting their alignment with the Paris goals measure up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Absurdly,&nbsp;<strong>Shell<\/strong>&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.shell.com\/energy-and-innovation\/the-energy-future\/what-is-shells-net-carbon-footprint-ambition.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">claims<\/a>&nbsp;that its&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.shell.com\/energy-and-innovation\/the-energy-future\/shells-ambition-to-be-a-net-zero-emissions-energy-business.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">ambition<\/a>&nbsp;to reduce the \u201cNet Carbon Footprint of the energy products Shell sells to its customers by around 65% by 2050\u201d is \u201cconsistent with the 1.5\u00b0 Celsius goal.\u201d In reality, we score Shell \u201cgrossly insufficient\u201d on every baseline for 1.5\u00b0C ambition.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Why? Shell\u2019s \u201ccarbon footprint\u201d ambition puts no absolute restriction on what matters most for the climate: the volume of oil and gas the company is drilling out of the ground and selling to be burned. Shell could continue to increase its oil and gas production to 2030 and still meet its \u201cnet carbon footprint\u201d reduction goals. Meanwhile, Shell&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.shell.com\/energy-and-innovation\/the-energy-future\/what-is-shells-net-carbon-footprint-ambition.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">admits<\/a>&nbsp;that its 2050 \u201cnet zero\u201d commitment applies to \u201cless than 15% of the greenhouse gases associated with our energy products.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Similarly, French oil and gas giant&nbsp;<strong>Total<\/strong>&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.total.com\/media\/news\/total-adopts-new-climate-ambition-get-net-zero-2050\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">claims<\/a>&nbsp;that its \u201cglobal roadmap [\u2026] is consistent with goals of the Paris agreement\u201d but scores grossly insufficient on nearly every criteria.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Like Shell, Total has made no explicit commitment to reduce the overall amount of oil and gas it extracts. Total has&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.total.com\/media\/news\/total-adopts-new-climate-ambition-get-net-zero-2050\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">committed<\/a>&nbsp;to get to \u201cNet Zero across all its production and energy products used by its customers in Europe by 2050 or sooner.\u201d But, as we show in the briefing, only 13 percent of Total\u2019s oil and gas production occurred in Europe last year. Total can meet this goal while expanding its extractive activities elsewhere, as it is doing by trying to&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.newyorker.com\/news\/annals-of-a-warming-planet\/with-a-new-pipeline-in-east-africa-an-oil-company-flouts-frances-leadership-on-climate\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">build a massive new crude oil pipeline<\/a>&nbsp;across Uganda and Tanzania and a&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.foei.org\/resources\/gas-mozambique-france-report\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">massive fossil gas export project<\/a>&nbsp;on the coast of Mozambique \u2013 both being fought by local communities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Recently,&nbsp;<strong>BP<\/strong>&nbsp;came out with the&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/priceofoil.org\/2020\/08\/04\/statement-in-response-to-bps-new-commitment-to-major-cuts-in-extraction-by-2030\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">first explicit commitment<\/a>&nbsp;from an oil major to cut its absolute levels of oil and gas production to 2030. This is significant, and the type of near-term specificity all companies should be providing. It\u2019s the reason BP is the only company to score a yellow \u201cpartial alignment\u201d on our 2030 benchmark for declining production.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>However, as one has come to expect with Big Oil and Gas claims, there is a catch. BP excludes its nearly 20 percent stake in Russian oil giant Rosneft from its commitment to cut production by 40 percent by 2030. This is a big exception given BP\u2019s investment in Rosneft accounted for 44 percent and 14 percent of BP\u2019s oil and gas production, respectively, in 2019. After accounting for its Rosneft segment, BP is on track to cut production by less than 30 percent by 2030.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Meanwhile, BP&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/blog.ucsusa.org\/peter-frumhoff\/is-bp-finally-committing-to-ambitious-climate-action-or-about-to-fool-us-twice-five-things-to-look-for-in-its-climate-strategy\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">admitted<\/a>&nbsp;last week that they still expect \u201cthe absolute level of emissions associated with our marketed products to grow out to 2030.\u201d This suggests that BP sees a business opportunity to beat other oil majors in offloading some of its least-attractive production assets (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bp.com\/content\/dam\/bp\/business-sites\/en\/global\/corporate\/pdfs\/investors\/bpweek\/bpweek-resilient-focused-hydrocarbons-slides-and-script.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u201cdivestment\u201d is BP\u2019s primary strategy<\/a>&nbsp;to meet its 2030 target), but has no intention of winding down its oil and gas business as a whole any time soon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3>Conclusion: Big Oil will not manage its own decline<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>If big oil and gas companies had started taking incremental steps forward in the 1990s (still&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.desmogblog.com\/2018\/11\/20\/american-petroleum-institute-1965-speech-climate-change-oil-gas\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">decades after they knew<\/a>&nbsp;their pollution was damaging the climate) a gradual rollout of ambition might have been adequate. But not in the 2020s, after they\u2019ve spent several more decades&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/influencemap.org\/report\/How-Big-Oil-Continues-to-Oppose-the-Paris-Agreement-38212275958aa21196dae3b76220bddc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">lobbying to block and delay<\/a>&nbsp;meaningful solutions, and when the consequences of that delay are&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.usatoday.com\/story\/opinion\/voices\/2020\/09\/18\/climate-change-hurricane-laura-sally-louisiana-migrants-column\/3478995001\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">destroying<\/a>,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.downtoearth.org.in\/news\/natural-disasters\/cyclones-locust-attacks-climate-disasters-covid-19-pose-dual-challenge-in-south-asia-72443\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">uprooting<\/a>, and&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.climatechangenews.com\/2020\/05\/11\/east-africa-faces-triple-crisis-covid-19-locusts-floods\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">destabilizing<\/a>&nbsp;communities across the globe&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/3570f775ee3007888cd651d37fcbd465\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">at a gathering pace<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As we conclude in the briefing, the oil and gas industry should take responsibility to rapidly phase out its extraction-based business model and repair the climate damages it has caused. These companies are beginning to do something, however inadequate, because of mounting public pressure, protests, and divestment that threaten their social license, and because the COVID-19 and climate crises threaten their bottom lines.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But the industry most responsible for causing the climate crisis cannot be entrusted to manage its own decline, certainly not at the pace that science requires or in a just and equitable way. Without\u00a0<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"http:\/\/priceofoil.org\/2020\/04\/22\/covid19-dos-and-donts\/\" target=\"_blank\">bold and precedent-setting government interventions<\/a>\u00a0to mandate a\u00a0<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"http:\/\/priceofoil.org\/2020\/06\/01\/equity-climate-justice-and-fossil-fuel-extraction-principles-for-a-managed-phase-out\/\" target=\"_blank\">just and equitable wind down<\/a>\u00a0of fossil fuel production, the industry will continue to prioritize profits over people.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed-wordpress wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed is-provider-oil-change-international\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"PJpRToCEoW\"><a href=\"http:\/\/priceofoil.org\/2020\/09\/23\/big-oil-companies-still-failing-on-climate\/\">Spoiler alert: Big oil companies are still failing on climate<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px);\" title=\"&#8220;Spoiler alert: Big oil companies are still failing on climate&#8221; &#8212; Oil Change International\" src=\"http:\/\/priceofoil.org\/2020\/09\/23\/big-oil-companies-still-failing-on-climate\/embed\/#?secret=PJpRToCEoW\" data-secret=\"PJpRToCEoW\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>SEPTEMBER 23, 2020BY&nbsp;KELLY TROUTBLOG POST,&nbsp;ENERGY TRANSITIONS &amp; FUTURES,&nbsp;NEWS Over the past year, big oil and &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/eos.co.id\/main\/uncategorized\/spoiler-alert-big-oil-companies-are-still-failing-on-climate\/\" class=\"more-link\"><span class=\"more-button\">Continue Reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Spoiler alert: Big oil companies are still failing on climate<\/span><\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/eos.co.id\/main\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/575"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/eos.co.id\/main\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/eos.co.id\/main\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/eos.co.id\/main\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/eos.co.id\/main\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=575"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/eos.co.id\/main\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/575\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":576,"href":"https:\/\/eos.co.id\/main\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/575\/revisions\/576"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/eos.co.id\/main\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=575"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/eos.co.id\/main\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=575"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/eos.co.id\/main\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=575"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}